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On the 1-hour chart, a bullish breakout signal appeared at 4 PM on March 14, but the market largely consolidated sideways over the weekend, with declining trading volume reflecting low activity.
Improving rate-cut expectations, driven by key economic data, have boosted BTC’s short-term liquidity outlook, allowing it to decouple from equities and rebound quickly.
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If BTC drops below $66,000, the index would enter a bottoming phase, indicating a potential market low.
From a technical perspective, the $71,000-$73,000 range is a previous accumulation zone and also the liquidation range for most users.
Altcoins are unlikely to see strong rallies while BTC remains in a downtrend, but TOTAL3 could rise rapidly once BTC finds a bottom.
If BTC fails to break through the critical resistance zone between $93,000 and $97,000 by March 20, the longer it stays below this range, the higher the likelihood of an impulse wave to the downside.
As the crypto summit approaches, BTC may rally toward $93,000 in anticipation of further bullish developments. However, if the summit fails to meet market expectations, the $85,000-$87,000 range will serve as a strong support zone.
The rebound in US stocks, with the Nasdaq surging from -2% to a peak of 1.2%, drove BTC to rebound to $88,931. The key resistance level above is currently at $90,000–$91,000.
BTC has experienced sharp fluctuations in the short term, indicating that Trump can only influence BTC’s price movement in the short term but cannot change its long-term trend.
Continued attention should be given to the progress of BTC's strategic reserve. If BTC breaks and stabilizes above $93,877 (4-hour MA140), it would indicate a shift from bearish to bullish for right-side trading.
Meanwhile, after a continuous decline, Alts are showing relative resilience, with leading projects such as KAITO, IP, and PI continuing to squeeze shorts.
The key support level below is around the $81,000 mark, which is the midpoint of this rally. ETH and SOL are showing weak performance, with particular attention needed on SOL for a potential sharp rebound once the selling pressure ends.
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