Veteran traders dial back shorts on Hyperliquid
Mainstream data observations
BTC core liquidation positions:
Long position: Liquidation price at $91,705 with a liquidation amount of $1.269 billion.
Short position: Liquidation price at $94,505 with a liquidation amount of $524 million.
The current BTC price: $93,132. The liquidation amount for short positions is larger, making $94,500 an important support level to watch. Long position liquidations are relatively concentrated between $91,500 and $92,500.

ETH core liquidation positions:
Long position: Liquidation price at $1,738.1 with a liquidation amount of $105 million.
Short position: Liquidation price at $1,792.1 with a liquidation amount of $353 million.
The current ETH price: $1,747.3. Liquidation intensity for long positions is high and concentrated, especially around $1,730, which serves as a key support level. Short position risk remains relatively manageable, with $1,750 as a critical price level to monitor.

Total stablecoin market cap: $237.4B
The total market cap has increased slightly again today. USDC issued an additional 305.54 million tokens, up 0.38% on Ethereum and 1.28% on Hyperliquid. USDT issued an additional 436.05 million tokens.
BTC market cap share: 64.35%
TOTAL3 market cap: $812.08B
BTC’s market share has slightly declined but remains at a high level. TOTAL3 market cap increased by $11 billion on April 24.
Current core miner shutdown price: $75,305.6
The proportion of miners operating above the shutdown price has dropped to 11%. The average shutdown price for mainstream mining machines remains at $62,000, an important level to monitor.
Bitcoin MVRV-Z score: 2.15
MVRV is the ratio between the minimum market value (current market cap) and the realized value (total value of all BTC when last moved). The score has increased slightly again, suggesting a potential price peak may be approaching.)
Bitcoin BVIV score: 49.31
The BVIV score declined on April 24, returning to late-March levels, indicating a lower likelihood of major price volatility.
[Market rating]:
US Fed Governor Waller stated that rate cuts could begin as unemployment rises. As expectations of rate cuts grow and tariff impacts continue to diminish, sector rotation has started in the crypto market, with AI leading the rally. The current bull/bear sentiment score is 90 (Bullish).
[0–40 Bearish; 40–50 Cautiously Bearish; 50–70 Neutral; 70–80 Cautiously Bullish; 80–100 Bullish]
Market overview
BTC began to pull back after reaching a recent high near 94,904, with a low at 91,619. Since it didn’t fall below 91,594, the current rebound is not yet considered to have peaked. Based on candlestick structure, the potential high for this rally could be near the upper edge of a dense price zone at around 96,000, or near the lower boundary of the previous major consolidation zone at 93,300. Both levels are key resistance points. Failure to break through either effectively may signal the end of the current rebound.
Macro overview
China is considering suspending the 125% tariffs on certain US imports. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has said that such high tariffs are unsustainable. All major countries are now engaged in tariff negotiations, and the potential impact of tariffs continues to diminish. US equities have rebounded, and Fed Governor Waller has indicated that rate cuts may begin as unemployment rises, delivering a dovish tone. Currently, the probability of no rate cut in May stands at 93%, while the likelihood of a 25-basis-point cut in June has risen to 58%. Easing global conditions and a potential rate cut in June are both seen as supportive factors for BTC.
Key events
- Solana Ecosystem decentralized exchange Raydium has released a tweet related to emojis for airdrops, hinting at a possible upcoming airdrop.
- The US SEC has announced a delay in its decision on Grayscale's spot Polkadot ETF, giving the SEC more time to consider a proposed rule change by Nasdaq that would allow the exchange to list and trade the Grayscale Polkadot Trust shares.
- Asset management firm Fidelity tweeted that corporate purchases have driven the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges down to approximately 2.6 million BTC, the lowest level since November 2018.
- TON Foundation has appointed MoonPay co-founder Maximilian Crown as CEO.
- US SEC crypto task force has disclosed a meeting with crypto firm Ondo Finance to explore the compliant issuance of tokenized securities.
- Blockchain-based platform Neiro has acquired the exclusive license to the Neiro intellectual property from Atsuko Sato, the owner of Kabosu, the iconic Shiba Inu dog behind the Doge meme.
- According to monitoring by Onchain Lens, Circle has minted a total of 13 billion USDC on the Solana network so far in 2025.
- The full-chain Rollup L1 network Initia has announced that USDC is now usable as gas on Initia L1.
- According to Reuters, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs has denied having any trade tariff negotiations with the US.
- According to CCTV.com, Donald Trump's stance on tariffs on China "has not softened," and his administration is considering multiple options.
- Lending protocol Dolomite has opened claims for their DOLO token airdrop, representing 20% of the total token supply.
- Ethereum L2 network Reddio has released its RDO tokenomics, with a total supply of 10 billion tokens and 8% allocated to the community.
- RWA platform Securitize has launched a new crypto index fund, Mantle Index Four (MI4), with Mantle Treasury committing up to $400M as the anchor investment.
- Full-chain Rollup L1 network Initia has launched its mainnet, and the airdrop claim is now open.
- Ethereum Foundation has announced that Ethereum will celebrate the 10th anniversary of its genesis block on July 30, and the foundation is offering up to $500 in event grants.
- Open-source AI framework JuliaOS has launched, with its token JOS reaching a market cap of $17.25 million.
Hot projects
Exchange updates
- WOO X has launched INIT/USDT perpetual contracts with up to 10x leverage.
- Binance has launched five spot copy trading features to offer users enhanced tools for automation, comparison, transparency, and risk-free simulation; introduced the Alpha Points system to evaluate user activity within the Binance Alpha and wallet ecosystem for future TGE and Alpha token airdrop eligibility; listed Dolomite (DOLO) on Binance Alpha; and added Initia (INIT) to its Earn, Buy Crypto, Convert, Margin, and Futures platforms.
- According to Coinbase Assets, Mantle (MNT) has been added to its asset roadmap, while Coinbase has listed ZORA (ZORA) with an experimental label cautioning users about potential risks such as price volatility and liquidity issues, launched Initia/USDT perpetual contracts on Coinbase International, and expanded its partnership with digital payments platform PayPal by removing PYUSD trading fees.
- Bitget Wallet has launched new market and candlestick chart features, upgraded the UI of the Gold Dog Radar, while Bitget Onchain has listed memecoins including OPAIUM, Fartcoin2, and CREW, and Bitget has listed INIT/USDT perpetual contracts with up to 20x leverage.
- Bybit has listed Initia (INIT) and added Dolomite (DOLO) to its Launchpool.
Industry landscape
- US Federal Reserve Board has announced the withdrawal of its guidance for banks regarding crypto-asset and dollar token activities, along with changes to its expectations for these activities.
- On-chain gaming engine MagicBlock has completed a $7.5 million seed round, led by Faction.
- Trading platform Theo has raised $20M across two funding rounds, led by Hack VC.
- Investment firm RockawayX has raised a $125 million funding round, primarily targeting Solana ecosystem investments.
- Hong Ya Holdings has announced plans to raise HK$65 million, with 90% of the funds allocated to Web3 investments and Bitcoin acquisitions.
Emerging projects
Hyperliquid smart money tracking
Short positions retreat, mainstream capital turns bullish
Observations on April 25 indicate that the market continues its bullish trend, with most smart money capital flowing into memecoins and the Solana ecosystem. Meanwhile, short strategies from veteran wallets have shifted to a more cautious or defensive stance.
- 0xb3…06f remains slightly bearish but has made minor adjustments to its positions. For instance, its HYPE holdings have been reduced to 95,705 tokens, and it opened a new short position in TRUMP (-250,000 tokens), though the return is only 15% with a positive 7-day PnL. This suggests the wallet is still attempting to short strong tokens but has moved to a lighter position. Together with its BTC long position (ROE 209.36%), the account maintains portfolio stability with a conservative and defensive capital strategy.
- 0xf4…d1d continues to prioritize short positions, with holdings in WLD (ROE 765%), VIRTUAL (112%), and USUAL (50%) still showing high returns. However, its recent 7-day PnL is negative (-47,148 USDT), and its ZORA short position is also at a floating loss (-184 USDT), indicating that its short strategy is increasingly lagging behind the broader market.
In contrast, the strongest recent performers are several new meme+L1 smart wallets:
- 0x50…db6 has further expanded its positions in PEPE and TRUMP. Its TRUMP long position alone has an ROE of 292%, with a 7-day profit exceeding 13 million USDT, showing excellent market timing and execution.
- 0xc7…5bc continues to profit from BTC and SOL, with SOL’s ROE rising to nearly 70% and a 7-day PnL of 97,000 USDT, making it a representative account for going long on mainstream assets.
- 0x32…812 is heavily focused on the Solana ecosystem: SOL ROE is at 143%, PENGU ROE at 160%, and its short position in ZEREBRO maintains a 31% ROE. The account's strategy is concentrated and stable.
- 0xc2…740 remains profitable on its FARTCOIN holdings (+20%), but its long-term XRP position continues to show minor losses. It remains to be seen whether the wallet will adjust or reduce this position.
Other opportunities
On-chain DeFi mining yield products:
Risk: The exchange rate and value of USD0++ may change due to protocol adjustments, and the price fluctuations of the yield token USUAL may affect returns. Users should invest cautiously and conduct their own research.
Disclaimer
The development and market cap of stablecoins mentioned in the above content are speculative and based on market analysis at the time of writing and should not be interpreted as guaranteed outcomes. Market conditions can fluctuate widely and unpredictably due to numerous factors such as regulatory changes, market demand, and global economic developments.
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