Memecoin whales ride longs on Hyperliquid
Mainstream data observations
BTC core liquidation positions:
Long position: Liquidation price at $92,043 with a liquidation amount of $923 million.
Short position: Liquidation price at $94,101 with a liquidation amount of $325 million.
The current BTC price: $92,742. The liquidation amount for long positions is larger, with $92,000 serving as an important support level to observe. The liquidation amount for short positions is more concentrated, mainly around $94,000.
ETH core liquidation positions:
Long position: Liquidation price at $1,737.9 with a liquidation amount of $375 million.
Short position: Liquidation price at $1,813.5 with a liquidation amount of $97.97 million.
The current ETH price: $1,780. The liquidation intensity for long positions is large and concentrated, with significant liquidation amounts, especially around $1,730, which serves as an important support level to monitor. Market sentiment for ETH is bullish.
Total stablecoin market cap: $234.25B
The total market cap has seen minimal changes. USDC issued an additional 816.05 million coins, with a 0.95% increase on Solana. USDT issued an additional 516.87 million coins, with a 1.54% increase on Tron.
BTC market cap share: 64.26%
TOTAL3 market cap: $809.16B
BTC’s market cap share has slightly decreased but remains at a high level. After BTC broke through $94,000, the TOTAL3 market cap increased by $40 billion. Altcoins may experience a strong rebound, with particular focus on the AI sector, ETH ETF staking, and memecoins.
Current core miner shutdown price: $75,305.6
The proportion of miners above the shutdown price has decreased to 17%. The average shutdown price for mainstream mining machines is $72,000, which is an important price level to monitor.)
Bitcoin MVRV-Z score: 1.90
MVRV is the ratio between the minimum market value (current market value) and the actual value (total value of all BTC when last moved). The MVRV-Z score has risen again with the recent increase in BTC prices.)
Bitcoin BVIV score: 54.09
The BVIV score has slightly increased on April 23, but the index remains within a relatively controllable range, similar to the level at the end of March.)
[Market rating]
Donald Trump has stated that high tariffs on China will significantly decrease and that he will adopt a more friendly negotiating stance. This news has led to expectations of a strong rebound in US stocks. On April 23, the latest news reports that the son of US Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnick, Brandon Lutnick, is collaborating with SoftBank, Tether, and Bitfinex to create a multi-billion-dollar Bitcoin acquisition platform. Additionally, the easing of tariff negotiations has significantly boosted cryptocurrency market sentiment. The current Fear & Greed Index stands at 72, indicating a state of greed. The current bull/bear sentiment score is 90 (Bullish).
[0-40 Bearish; 40-50 Cautiously Bearish; 50-70 Neutral; 70-80 Cautiously Bullish; 80-100 Bullish]
Market overview
Bitcoin continues to break higher, entering the $92,000–$96,000 range, with a recent peak near $94,141. Typically, there are two possible scenarios after entering this range. The first is the formation of multiple consolidation zones, building momentum through multiple breakout setups. The second scenario involves failing to break the key resistance level above, leading to a pullback that would mark the end of the rally from $74,500, followed by a new upward leg after the correction. At present, the market leans more toward the first scenario, where continued upward momentum is more likely.
Macro overview
On April 22, Donald Trump acknowledged that the 145% tariffs imposed on China are extremely high and stated that they would be significantly reduced in the future. On the same day, US Treasury Secretary Bessent expressed optimism that the trade deadlock between the US and China would not persist. The softening of Trump's tariff stance led to a drop in gold prices, a new stage high for Bitcoin, and a strong open in China's A-shares market. Market risk-aversion has eased. Trump also stated he wouldn’t fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, helping to set a more stable tone for financial markets. With Trump's extreme tariff pressure on China appearing to pause, negotiations are expected to resume. In the short term, this shift supports a rebound in equity assets.
Key events
- During the company’s quarterly earnings call, Elon Musk announced that he won’t fully withdraw from the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), but will significantly scale back his involvement starting in May.
- According to CNN, Donald Trump has stated that the high tariffs on Chinese goods will come down substantially, but they won’t be zero.
- According to CoinDesk, the CEO of MoonPay has suggested that the company might be working on a stablecoin.
- According to CoinDesk, Dutch bank ING is collaborating with multiple banks and crypto service providers to prepare a new stablecoin, aiming to leverage the regulatory compliance framework introduced by the EU's MiCA regulations.
- According to Reuters, Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the media company owned by Donald Trump, has finalized a deal with trading platform Crypto.com and asset manager Yorkville America Digital to launch an ETF that will include digital assets in its securities offering.
- BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has stated that the rapid strengthening of the Japanese yen may lead to leveraged traders closing their positions in US stocks and bonds, anticipating a monetary easing policy from central banks.
- According to Daily Economic News, JD Group vice president Shen Jianguang has stated that JD's stablecoin has entered the "sandbox" testing phase in Hong Kong.
Hot projects
Exchange updates
- Coinbase will launch the tokenbot (CLANKER) and according to crypto.news, has confirmed it is considering applying for a US federal bank license.
- Bitget has launched HYPER/USDT perpetual contracts with up to 20x leverage, will list Dolomite (DOLO) on April 24, and has also listed Lumo-8B-Instruct (LUMO) and Trenches News Network (TNN) on Bitget Onchain.
- Binance Alpha has listed Hyperlane (HYPER), added SKYAI (SKYAI), TROLL (TROLL), and Wizard Gang (Wizard), while Binance has listed DEEP/USDT perpetual contracts with up to 50x leverage.
- OKX will delist the trading pairs including KISHU/USDT, MAX/USDT, MILO/USDT, MXC/USDT, and SSWP/USDT on April 29.
Industry landscape
- DAO infrastructure provider Tally has completed an $8 million Series A funding round, led by Blockchain Capital.
- Bitcoin infrastructure company Arch Labs has completed a $13 million Series A funding round, led by Pantera Capital.
- Full-chain liquidity infrastructure StakeStone has announced receiving investment from Animoca Ventures.
Emerging projects
Hyperliquid smart money tracking
On April 23, the market continued its volatile yet strong trend, with smart money clearly shifting towards long positions in small coins and mainstream coins. Several new addresses have appeared with high multiple profit records, indicating that major capital is no longer waiting conservatively but is actively engaging in the market.
The well-established smart money address 0xb3…06f still holds short positions in HYPE, PURR, BNB, MNT, etc., but the returns are continuing to converge. The HYPE short position has fallen to a 31.62% return, with a 7-day PnL loss of as much as -340,000, with only ETH and BTC long positions supporting the overall account. In contrast, 0xf4…d1d continues to hold a short position in a combination of WLD, VIRTUAL, and USUAL, with returns still good, although the overall account profits have slightly decreased.
Notably, multiple new wallets have started to heavily invest in memecoins and strong small coins, with long position returns significantly outperforming the market average:
- 0x50…db6 has heavily invested in long positions for PEPE, FARTCOIN, and TRUMP, with returns ranging from 100% to 240%. The 7-day PnL and unrealized total profits exceed 20 million USDT, making it one of the most outstanding funds in this round.
- 0xc2…740 has similarly placed heavy bets on FARTCOIN (+43%) and XRP (+6%), with a 7-day profit and loss reaching the 2 million USDT level.
- 0x32…812 has placed single bets on SOL and PENGU, with returns of 130% and 109%, indicating that capital is moving from memecoins to strong mainstream chain ecosystems (such as Solana).
As new smart money fully invests in memecoins and strong assets, it is recommended to readjust the focus of observation, concentrating on the main capital turning bullish, and capturing the main trend of the rebound.
Other opportunities
On-chain DeFi mining yield products:
Risk: The price volatility of incentive tokens may affect actual returns. Users should invest cautiously and conduct their own research.
Disclaimer
The development and market cap of stablecoins mentioned in the above content are speculative and based on market analysis at the time of writing and should not be interpreted as guaranteed outcomes. Market conditions can fluctuate widely and unpredictably due to numerous factors such as regulatory changes, market demand, and global economic developments.
The information provided in this article is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. While we have made every effort to ensure that the information contained herein is accurate and up-to-date, we make no guarantees as to its completeness or accuracy. The content is based on information available during writing and may be subject to change.
Please note that this article includes references to third-party websites and data provided solely for convenience and informational purposes. We do not endorse or assume any responsibility for the content, accuracy, or reliability of any information, products, or services offered by third parties.
Cryptocurrencies involve significant risk and are NOT suitable for the majority of investors. The value of digital currencies can be extremely volatile, and you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite before participating in any staking or investment activities.
We strongly recommend that you seek independent advice from a qualified professional before making any investment or financial decisions related to cryptocurrencies. We shall in NO case be liable for any loss or damage arising directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on the information contained in this article.